AGROMETEOROLOGICAL SUNFLOWER YIELD PREDICTION MODEL: II. MODEL ADJUST AND VALIDATION
Abstract
The maximum yield (Ym') of sunflower obtained on basis of efective temperature and on the photosyntheticaly active solar radiation absorved accumulted (PARaa) and that based on the highest sunflower yield reached in 53 environments of the State of Rio Grande do Sul, were penalized in function of the relative water consumption or crop specific dryness index (CSDI), according to the Jenssen multiplicative model. The results show that the adjusted and validated model, based on the relative water consumption in the reproductive subperiod, explain about 80 % of the variation in the sunflower yield in Rio Grande do Sul. The model showed good perpormance in the yield prediction (r = 0.926; b = 0.993). The sunflower grain yield may be predicted with four weelcs bef ore the harvest time, using the multiplicative model in which the Ym he the maximum yield estimated in function of the PARaa (Ym').
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